Materials and Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 47 patients who received ADT with the diagnosis of metastatic prostate cancer. The patients" age, International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) scores, baseline prostate specific antigen (PSA), alkaline phosphatase (ALP) value, prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) tracer expression, represented by the maximum standardised uptake value (SUV max) at diagnosis, nadir PSA value, and time to resistance to ADT were recorded.
Results: All patients included in the study were resistant to treatment with ADT. The mean age of the patients was 70.81 ± 1.15 years. The mean time to develop resistance to treatment after castration was 31.51 ± 4.9 months. In the correlation analysis, a significant negative correlation was detected between PSA, nadir PSA values and time to treatment resistance. The relationship between the SUVmax value of the primary prostate lesion, ALP value at the time of diagnosis and time to response to ADT developed was not significant.
Conclusion: We found PSA values at diagnosis and nadir PSA values during follow-up to be predictive factors of treatment resistance in metastatic prostate cancer patients receiving ADT.
The prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is a useful tool in diagnosing prostate cancer. Additionally, PSA levels are evaluated periodically after completion of ADT for advanced prostate cancer and used to estimate life expectancy based on its serum levels. However, there is disagreement about the prognostic significance of various PSA indices after hormone therapy. Additionally, there are few studies on whether these PSA indices accurately predict progression towards hormoneresistant prostate cancer. ALP is one of the oldest known tumor markers whose main sources are liver and bone. ALP is a prognostic marker for overall survival (OS). In castrationresistant metastatic prostate cancer patients, and its increased levels correlate with the spread of metastatic bone disease. Although there is not enough correlation between PSA and ALP values in the evaluation of treatment responses, it is stated that the evaluation of the treatment response with ALP is more meaningful [8]. ALP is often used as a prognostic marker of bone metastases. Although not certain, ALP is associated with increased bone turnover, osteoblastic activity and osteoid formation in the presence of bone metastasis. According to a meta-analysis, high serum ALP levels in patients with hormonesensitive prostate cancer were associated with increased overall mortality and disease progression, but not with cancer-specific mortality rates [9].
Positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/ CT) is a hybrid imaging method that demonstrates molecular processes of tissues as well as morphological imaging, providing superior diagnostic performance. Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) is a transmembrane protein primarily present in all prostatic tissues and PSMA expression increases in prostate cancer patients [10]. In recent years 68Ga PSMA PET/ CT has been the standard assessment method for prostate cancer staging, evaluation of biochemical recurrence and treatment response [11].
In patients receiving ADT for advanced prostate cancer, PSA levels increase 6 to 12 months before emengence of any clinical indicators of disease progression [12,13]. The time to disease progression is important for planning treatment. Indeed, when the tumor burden is at a minimum level, the general health status of the patients can tolerate alternative treatments. Therefore, it is important to determine a suitable factor that can predict progression to hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC) before the serum PSA value rises again. In this way, alternative treatments can be applied at appropriate times. In this study, we investigated the relationship between PSA levels measured before GnRH treatment in metastatic prostate cancer patients, ALP levels, SUVmax values obtained by Ga-68 PSMA PET/ CT, and nadir PSA levels during follow-up and the time to the development of castration- resistant PCa.
According to the European Association of Urology (EAU) guidelines patients were considered to have CRPC as soon as biochemical (three consecutive rises in PSA values at least one week apart resulting in two 50% increases over the nadir, and a PSA>2 ng/mL) or radiological progression [(emergence of two or more new bone lesions on bone scan or a soft tissue lesion using RECIST (response evaluation criteria in solid tumours)] was observed when serum testosterone was <50 ng/dL or 1.7 nmol/L [14]. The time from the start of ADT until castration therapy was recorded.
Statistical Analysis
SPSS 23.0 program was used for statistical analysis. For
the data that did not comply with normal distribution, a nonparametric
test was used. Mann-Whitney U test was used to
compare two independent groups. Correlation analysis was
performed to understand the co-movement between variables.
Since parametric variables were not available, Spearman
correlation analysis was used. In our study, G-power analysis
was performed with a moderate effect (d=0.5) according to
Cohen"s standards for various effect sizes, with α:0.05 (95%
confidence) error level β:0.80 power. According to the results
of the analysis, taking 47 samples would be sufficient to obtain
statistically significant study results. All tests were performed at
a 95% confidence.
The average pre-treatment PSA (214.2 ± 92.6 ng/mL), ALP (219.6 ± 29.2 IU/L) and prostatic SUVmax (17.6 ± 1.8) values were as indicated. The mean nadir PSA level of the patients during their follow-up was calculated as 1.94 ± 9.6 ng/mL. The average time to develop resistance to treatment after castration was 31.51 ± 4.9 months. The distribution of these data of the patients is summarized in Table 1.
Table 1. Patient characteristics
In the correlation analysis, there was no significant correlation between age at diagnosis and time to relapse (p=0.478 r=0.108), and between time to relapse and ISUP scores (p=0.427 r=-0.233). A moderately significant negative correlation existed between PSA levels and time to recurrence (p=0.002, r=-0.646). Still, a significant negative correlation was detected between nadir PSA values and time to recurrence (p=0.042, r=-0.517). No correlation was found between the SUVmax value of the primary prostatic lesion and time to recurrence (p=0.373, r=-0.142). The relationship between ALP value at diagnosis and time to recurrence was also not significant (p=0.284 r=-0.369). Correlation relationships are summarized in Table 2.
Median survival for newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer patients has been reported to be approximately 42 months with ADT alone. However, since the characteristics of the metastatic lesions are not the same, time to metastatic spread varies greatly [16]. Various prognostic factors for survival have been proposed, including the number and location of bone metastases, the presence of visceral metastases, ISUP grade, PS (performance score) status, and baseline PSA and alkaline phosphatase levels, but only a few of them have been validated [17–20]. In this study, we aim to evaluate factors that may predict treatment resistance in patients receiving ADT.
PSA values and baseline Gleason scores have been reported as the most important predictors of the time to transition to castrate resistant state in metastatic prostate cancer [21]. Kwak et al. confirmed this information by showing that pre-treatment PSA, PSA 6 months after treatment and the number of bone metastases were significantly associated with progression to castration-resistant prostate cancer [22]. According to the study conducted by Divrik et al., approximately a quarter of the patients responded appropriately to ADT without failure for a long time, while the remaining patients became resistant to treatment after an average of 12-18 months. According to the results of this study, it has been shown that the initial response to ADT can be predicted by the pre-treatment PSA level, and that the duration of response to treatment is affected by factors such as PSA levels and Gleason scores (GS). The unresponsiveness to ADT increased 4-fold in patients with a GS of 8-10, compared to patients with a GS of 6 [23]. Kafka et al. showed that total PSA level at diagnosis was not an indicator of clinical outcome. However, in the same study, they showed a strong correlation between nPSA levels and OS, progression-free survival (PFS) and time to progression. In this study, lower PSA levels were associated with statistically significantly prolonged PFS and time to progression [24]. In their study, Bonde et al., did not find a relationship between pre-treatment PSA levels and the risk of resistance to castration therapy. In the same study, the nadir PSA level reached after castration was shown to be a strong indicator of the development of resistance to castration therapy, regardless of pre-treatment PSA levels. With these results, they emphasized the importance of PSA monitoring immediately after starting ADT to determine whether additional treatment is needed [25]. In our study, we examined factors that could predict the time to development of resistance to treatment in metastatic prostate cancer patients receiving only ADT. The time to develop resistance to treatment was found to be 31.51 ± 4.9 months. There was no significant correlation between the time to treatment resistance and the ISUP scores (p=0.427 r=- 0.233). However, a moderately statistically significant negative correlation was found between the time to treatment resistance and PSA levels (p=0.002, r=-0.646). In addition, a significant negative correlation was detected between nadir PSA and recurrence time (p=0.042, r=-0.517). Pre-ADT PSA and nadir PSA are strong factors in predicting treatment resistance in metastatic prostate cancer. This emphasizes the importance of rapid PSA monitoring from the start of ADT and measuring the PSA level at the time of diagnosis to detect the need for additional treatment.
Previous studies have shown that increased serum ALP, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, and the presence of visceral metastases are associated with poor survival [26,27]. Fizazi et al. associated increased ALP levels with decreased PFS and OS in a large cohort of patients receiving chemotherapy for mCRPC [28]. In our study, no significant relationship was found between the ALP levels at the time of diagnosis and the time to recurrence which we think is related to the inhomogeneity of the metastatic burden in our patient group. We think that ALP values can predict resistance to ADT in patient groups where metastatic foci are homogeneous in location and size.
Jadvar et al. reported the prognostic value of SUVmax values defined based on FDG-PET results in 87 mCRPC patients. In the same study, it was reported that the survival rate of patients with high SUVmax values decreased [29]. However, in a study evaluating the response of 34 patients with mCRPCa to enzalutamide treatment, age, ISUP grade, SUVmax, and pre-treatment PSA values, and the presence of local recurrence or metastasis in any region were not found to be significant in predicting response to treatment [30]. Another study using SPECT/CT found no significant correlation between changes in SUV values and PFS or OS [31]. In our study, age at diagnosis, ISUP scores, and SUVmax values of the primary prostatic lesions on PSMA-PET imaging could not predict resistance to ADT.
Our study has several limitations. The first of these is that our patient group is not homogeneous in terms of metastatic burden and diversity of metastases. Secondly, the number of patients included in our study is relatively small. For these reasons, our findings should be interpreted as exploratory rather than definitive results. However, we think that our study conveys importance in that we examined many valuable prognostic parameters such as age, ISUP scores, pre-ADT PSA, nPSA, Pre- ADT ALP and pre-ADT SUVmax. We think that future analyzes with a larger and more homogeneous sample size will support our results.
Acknowledgments: We would like to thank to Nuclear Medicine Specialist who is Zekiye Hasbek for her helps during PSMA-PET processing.
Ethics Committee Approval: Ethical approval for this study was obtained from Cumhuriyet University Medical Faculty Ethics Committee (Approval Number: 2023-12/21, date: 12.21.2023).
Informed Consent: An informed consent was obtained from all the patients.
Publication: The results of the study were not published in full or in part in form of abstracts.
Peer-review: Externally peer-reviewed.
Authorship Contributions: Any contribution was not made by any individual not listed as an author. Concept – A.Ö., İ.E.E., A.A., H.S.; Design – A.Ö., A.A., H.S.; Supervision – A.Ö., İ.E.E., H.S.; Resources – A.Ö., İ.E.E., A.A.; Materials – A.Ö., A.A., H.S.; Data Collection and/or Processing – A.Ö., İ.E.E.; Analysis and/or Interpretation – A.Ö., İ.E.E., H.S.; Literature Search – A.Ö., İ.E.E., A.A.; Writing Manuscript – A.Ö., İ.E.E.; Critical Review –A.Ö., A.A., H.S.
Conflict of Interest: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
Financial Disclosure: The authors declare that this study received no financial support.